Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 13.600907 15.530416 17.598085 19.974165 22.624614 25.485493 28.802393
2024-10-20 10.254538 12.736694 15.589332 19.093383 23.263626 28.049065 33.935994
2024-10-27 7.830056 10.530278 13.843239 18.169241 23.626761 30.237493 38.799890
2024-11-03 6.681740 9.658230 13.530901 18.867955 25.950213 34.934566 47.087319
2024-11-10 6.101789 9.412897 13.952723 20.513077 29.608606 41.611680 58.453822
2024-11-17 5.395827 8.867665 13.874397 21.442936 32.376311 47.342229 69.059102
2024-11-24 4.570257 8.003929 13.210781 21.437852 33.805296 51.338041 77.603603
2024-12-01 3.773848 7.045428 12.261012 20.867967 34.316161 54.033204 84.479892
2024-12-08 3.223882 6.391709 11.682917 20.770912 35.478428 57.704532 92.966291
2024-12-15 2.840019 5.955829 11.389582 21.070026 37.242260 62.354084 103.163806
2024-12-22 2.443863 5.427138 10.861716 20.904160 38.217256 65.825836 111.756510
2024-12-29 2.283393 5.320282 11.056908 21.981396 41.304567 72.789588 126.165226
2025-01-05 2.004002 4.938772 10.720456 22.117458 42.873010 77.524124 137.521279
2025-01-12 1.670695 4.380899 9.971718 21.412377 42.909539 79.739042 144.947699
2025-01-19 1.377193 3.849927 9.196339 20.557547 42.583013 81.296709 151.363566
2025-01-26 1.280693 3.759358 9.312498 21.451017 45.535303 88.673944 168.015104
2025-02-02 1.273986 3.888022 9.911381 23.372743 50.568609 99.998055 192.044545
2025-02-09 1.201610 3.835761 10.104437 24.472167 54.098850 108.840426 212.207854
2025-02-16 1.064156 3.582998 9.809048 24.505367 55.535643 113.967735 226.077612
2025-02-23 0.906361 3.237774 9.246072 23.890484 55.612305 116.574441 235.547791
2025-03-02 0.798608 3.011940 8.936199 23.798267 56.734845 121.183759 248.866354
2025-03-09 0.725752 2.875033 8.826893 24.146422 58.788591 127.658209 265.904796
2025-03-16 0.637994 2.669244 8.508988 23.967297 59.696528 131.952530 279.060119